For Your Information (FYI)
From: PAEPARD@dgroups.org [mailto:PAEPARD@dgroups.org] On Behalf Of
F.Stepman@cgiar.org
Sent: 09 May 2019 14:17
To: Platform for African - European Partnership in Agricultural Research for
Development Phase II (PAEPARD II) <PAEPARD@dgroups.org>
Subject: [paepard] Uncertainties of Climate Change Impacts in Agriculture
8 May 2019. Interview with Prof. Senthold Asseng a renowned crop modeler
from University of Florida and wheat coordinator of the Agricultural Model
Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) network.
Climate change impact and adaptation on the production of wheat.
<https://paepard.blogspot.com/2019/05/uncertainties-of-climate-change-impact
s.html>
"Africa imports every year 40 million tons of wheat. The main import is from
Russia"
"Our models predict that there will be a 6% decline in global wheat
production for each degree in global warming"
"In 2010 Egypt lost 1,5 tons of wheat production out of the 10 million tons
produced or a 16% drop."
"In 2016 France as the 5th world producer of wheat had a 32 % drop with a
production of 12 million tons of wheat. The combination of a warmer early
winter and intensive rainfall during key crop growing stages led to
increased disease pressure, water logging, nutrient leaching and lower solar
radiation."
"Seasonal forecast research is very promising in dry areas where there is a
great weather variability. Simulating the weather for the coming 6 to 9
months is like making money on a roulette game where 80% are red numbers.
Seasonal forecasts need to be 80% reliable to be useful"
Related:
ICARDA is currently elaborating a new large-scale initiative - the DryArc -
in collaboration with five other CGIAR centers which is founded on the
DryArc Interface.
<http://www.icarda.org/#utm_source=e-signature&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign
=ICARDA-email>
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it. Instead, please inform the sender and then delete it. Thank you.
You are receiving this message because you are a member of the community
Platform for African <https://dgroups.org/paepard> - European Partnership
in Agricultural Research for Development Phase II (PAEPARD II).
View this contribution on the web site <https://dgroups.org/_/zc25n3t5>
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From: PAEPARD@dgroups.org [mailto:PAEPARD@dgroups.org] On Behalf Of
F.Stepman@cgiar.org
Sent: 09 May 2019 14:17
To: Platform for African - European Partnership in Agricultural Research for
Development Phase II (PAEPARD II) <PAEPARD@dgroups.org>
Subject: [paepard] Uncertainties of Climate Change Impacts in Agriculture
8 May 2019. Interview with Prof. Senthold Asseng a renowned crop modeler
from University of Florida and wheat coordinator of the Agricultural Model
Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) network.
Climate change impact and adaptation on the production of wheat.
<https://paepard.blogspot.com/2019/05/uncertainties-of-climate-change-impact
s.html>
"Africa imports every year 40 million tons of wheat. The main import is from
Russia"
"Our models predict that there will be a 6% decline in global wheat
production for each degree in global warming"
"In 2010 Egypt lost 1,5 tons of wheat production out of the 10 million tons
produced or a 16% drop."
"In 2016 France as the 5th world producer of wheat had a 32 % drop with a
production of 12 million tons of wheat. The combination of a warmer early
winter and intensive rainfall during key crop growing stages led to
increased disease pressure, water logging, nutrient leaching and lower solar
radiation."
"Seasonal forecast research is very promising in dry areas where there is a
great weather variability. Simulating the weather for the coming 6 to 9
months is like making money on a roulette game where 80% are red numbers.
Seasonal forecasts need to be 80% reliable to be useful"
Related:
ICARDA is currently elaborating a new large-scale initiative - the DryArc -
in collaboration with five other CGIAR centers which is founded on the
DryArc Interface.
<http://www.icarda.org/#utm_source=e-signature&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign
=ICARDA-email>
This email and any files transmitted with it may be confidential and are
intended solely for the use of the individual or entity to whom they are
addressed. If you received this message in error, do not use or rely upon
it. Instead, please inform the sender and then delete it. Thank you.
You are receiving this message because you are a member of the community
Platform for African <https://dgroups.org/paepard> - European Partnership
in Agricultural Research for Development Phase II (PAEPARD II).
View this contribution on the web site <https://dgroups.org/_/zc25n3t5>
A reply to this message will be sent to all members of Platform for African
- European Partnership in Agricultural Research for Development Phase II
(PAEPARD II).
Reply to sender <mailto:F.Stepman@cgiar.org> | Unsubscribe
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